Internet crash today 19/7/24

[Mike Watterson]

It was bound to happen, it will be worse in the future.

Yes, I wrote a book years ago. it was going to be totally apocalyptic with 100s of millions dying, but I made it more light-hearted.
"No Silver Lining" never blames Windows (or any OS) at all,
The problem is a more subtle management issue.

See also:
… stupid about using GPS as simply an alternative to buying a stable oscillator or clock. Should only be used by for navigation, not Mobile base stations, fibre heads, DAB and DTT timing. It's a single point of failure either by jamming (DOS) or solar flare or management by operator. It's a small once off capital equipment saving that is absolutely stupid.

I cyber security guy writes:

I think what has shown is that every enterprise cannot have a single threat agent dependency.
We need to ensure that we are dual threaded with ability to pivot quickly and time to resolution is quicker

But what is also bad is potatoes like in 19th C. Too many people using Cloudfare, or the same Cloud services, or the ISPs & so called "cloud" providers using the one kind of thing.

Automatic updates are bad.
Written in 2017

“Why then do you say the Cloud is like potatoes?”
“Let’s take a step back,” insisted Kate. “What happens when banks, mobile phone billing, shops’ real time transactions are all outsourced to the Cloud and there is an automatic patch, or wrong anti-virus definition or a cyber attack and all or most of the Cloud fails?”
“That can’t happen,” said Jim.
“Really?” said Kate. “There have been major outages on all of them. Admittedly usually only a few hours, sometimes longer. Some in the past that were very bad weren’t noticed by the public because the amount outsourced to the Cloud wasn’t critical. Isn’t it going to get worse now that so much that should be in house has been outsourced because it seems cheaper to the accountants and managers who don’t factor the risks?”
“I see what you mean,” said Jim. “So the canaries are servers that are not up to date so as to be vulnerable?”
“Oddly no,” said Kate. “There are two kinds, one is instances at each of the major cloud providers, the others are really up to date in Genie-Sys data centres with a variety of edge routers such as Cisco, Juniper and Huawei as a problem with the so called Cloud is also the OS in the routers. Even Microsoft is using Linux based routers.”
“Ah, I get the potatoes,” said Jim. “The providers have many things in common. Can Louise explain all this to the students?”

later

We were doing that anyway before our analysts suggested at the beginning of September that the so called Cloud had reached a tipping point. Failure was deemed to be inevitable, with more severe results than in previous years due to more vital infrastructure and core services being outsourced to it.”
“Amazingly just over two months later it did,” said Jackie. “So is the lesson that the major cloud providers need to do things your way?”
“No. What we did was a temporary fudge, a bodge. People that signed purchase orders, or boards that decided to outsource core business functions should be sued by their shareholders for negligence. It makes no sense. It’s not even saving money in the long term, or only saving money because it’s not as robust solution as is needed. In the future, we will only accept contracts for non-essential hosting. We will be recommending suppliers that can furnish in-house resilient computer solutions. Banks transactions, retail transactions, stock control, major online sales and banking, critical government services, mobile billing etc. should never ever be outsourced to third parties. Those are critical core business functions.”
“So in summary?”
“The Cloud for any critical or core business function is inherently a failure, because everything outsourced fails at the same time. It doesn’t matter how much more reliable it might be than an in house solution. Or how much cheaper. Though cloud providers need to make a profit, so it can in reality be no cheaper and no more reliable. Many are selling below cost to build their customer base.”
Jackie said nothing, so to fill the silence, Louise continued.
“Any decent analysis shows it can’t be fixed. I think now I want to go home for a while, maybe have a real ale or cider in an Evesham pub with my mum and dad.”